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Comment Re:I see your 400k and raise... (Score 1) 66

We mostly agree then, particularly on AI not being a significant factor in the job market.

Your article, though, is almost self-contradictory. The headline is bleak, but nearly every graph shows an overall *positive* trend. Even the "overall IT job market size" graph, which shows a decline since the peak in 2022, places the new "lower" market size as larger than 2020, a time period when the market was experiencing rapid growth.

I think it's too early to tell whether we are in an extended decline, or just a temporary trough.

Comment Re:I see your 400k and raise... (Score 1) 66

You claimed that the AI bubble bursting (the subject of this article) is causing job losses "twice as big" as the .com bubble bursting. You then cite numbers from 2022 and 2023 to support your claim.

But...
Tech boom has slowed, but there are still more Silicon Valley jobs than before the pandemic - https://calmatters.org/economy...
Despite layoffs tech jobs are still hot in 2023 - https://americanbazaaronline.c...

The point is, the numbers you cited from https://www.trueup.io/layoffs are questionable because they only count layoffs, without offsetting the numbers with job *gains* happening at the same time. This will always lead to a bleak picture, but not an accurate one.

Comment Re:In that case (Score 1) 74

I suppose it depends on how hard you look. These days, if you want a dumbphone, you can still get them. https://www.amazon.com/s?k=fli... And you can still get "non-smart" TVs. https://www.amazon.com/s?k=non... You can *even* still get cars with manual transmissions, and some of them are *not* bargain-basement models! https://www.caranddriver.com/f...

I'm counting on the market for "dumb" refrigerators to stay healthy for quit some time to come.

Comment Re:I see your 400k and raise... (Score 1) 66

Of course. There are layoffs happening *all* the time, in the best economic conditions. The fact that "forward-thinking companies" were laying off in 2022, was not a sign of a sinking economic ship that will never come back. It was rather a sign of the normal business cycle. What goes up, must come down. The AI-driven business cycle is no different. It will not be the new thing that kills all economic activity. The economy will continue to roll along.

Comment Re:Fear of China (Score 1) 76

There are many substantial differences. But the most important is that Republicans today follow a *person* (Donald Trump). Conservatives follow *principle*. The difference is huge. You can't follow both principle, and a person, you have to pick.

I don't agree with everything Liz Cheney believed in. But your list is full of half-truths and liberal talking points. Some of them are true (pro-coal) and some simply reveal your own prejudices (racist). It's *not* a serious critique.

Comment Re:I see your 400k and raise... (Score 1) 66

I call BS. In 2022 and 2023, everybody was scrounging for developers and other technical people. They were getting multiple offers and having to choose between them. I know, because I had to hire a team of developers in 2023. It was brutal. Remember "quiet quitting"? Those were NOT high-layoff years.

Comment Re:Fear of China (Score 1) 76

You might be surprised to learn that I agree with you that Trump is corrupt and is trying to destroy democracy. I did not vote for him in any election in which he ran. My idea of a good politician is Liz Cheney. She sacrificed everything for her ideals. If she ran for President, I would vote fore her in a heartbeat.

And yes, BSAB.

Comment Marketing! (Score 1) 218

There seems to be a misconception that if the desktop becomes *good enough* that people will flock to it. It's been a good-enough desktop for a long, long time. What it's missing is good, old-fashioned marketing.

You want people to buy your product, you have to convince them to buy it. You want people to use your *free* product, you still have to convince them to use it.

Being *good* helps. But it's not enough. Microsoft has spent billions promoting their desktop. You want to challenge MS? You're going to have to spend a LOT of money.

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